Should the UK prepare for food shortages from the Iran war?

The UK imports around half of its food and relies on global supply chains vulnerable to disruptions from the ongoing Iran war. Government analysis outlines a worst-case scenario of supermarket shortages by June, particularly in meat, ready meals, salads, and pork, due to potential carbon dioxide supply cuts essential for farming, processing, and packaging. Fertiliser costs have risen 25% from energy shocks, while shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz threaten imports amid tightening global energy markets.