REFNATION
EmploymentEnded 12 Jul

Will AI and advanced robotics replace most jobs in the next 50-100 years?

Yes 61%No 39%84 votes cast

Reports from McKinsey and the World Economic Forum indicate AI and automation could handle tasks equivalent to 45-60% of global working hours by 2035-2040, with studies showing rapid impacts on white-collar roles like accounting, coding, and radiology. Physical robotics advances are accelerating too, but new jobs in AI oversight, creative fields, and human-centric services continue to emerge. Over 50-100 years, the scale of change depends on technological breakthroughs, policy responses like retraining or universal basic income, and economic adaptation.

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What stands out is not who believed the robots are coming for the jobs, but how little it mattered who they were. Men and women landed within a point of each other, and every adult age band bar the youngest cleared a majority for yes, producing a 61% verdict that reads less like a generational clash and more like a shared hunch.

The one wrinkle is the 16-24s, split evenly down the middle, the only cohort not persuaded either way — perhaps fitting for the group whose working lives will actually test the McKinsey and WEF forecasts this question borrows from. Everyone older, including the 55-64s who might expect automation to arrive too late to touch their careers, still tipped narrowly toward yes.

The consensus echoes a wider anxiety that has moved from science fiction to spreadsheet: white-collar automation in coding, accounting and radiology already visible enough that the debate has shifted from "if" to "how much" and "how soon", with retraining and universal basic income now standard fixtures of the policy conversation rather than fringe ideas.

For a question spanning a century, the agreement across a two-week vote is notable — it is the timeframe, not the outcome, that remains the argument.

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61%
Yes · 51 votes
39%
No · 33 votes
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