Yes squeaked home on the Gibraltar accord, 56% to 44%, a 12-point margin that flatters a result built on a genuine split rather than any groundswell. Of the 55 voters with profiles, the deal only cleared thanks to lopsided support from one group offsetting a dead heat elsewhere.
That group was women, who backed the agreement 12-5 (71%), while men split exactly down the middle at 17-17. It is a rare instance where gender, not age, is the story — men here treated a Schengen-and-customs-union tie-up for Gibraltar as a coin toss, women did not.
Age told a messier tale, with the 25-34 bracket most enthusiastic (13-7, 65% yes) and the 65+ cohort not far behind on a small base, while 35-44s were the only age group to reject it outright (2-4). The pattern echoes the UK's post-Brexit fault line over sovereignty-versus-access trade-offs, where each new EU-adjacent arrangement — Windsor Framework, youth mobility, now Gibraltar — reopens the same argument in miniature.
A deal this evenly argued among men suggests the "control versus access" debate that has defined Brexit's aftermath is still being fought to a draw, even as the numbers, this time, tipped toward Yes.
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