Would you still vote Brexit today?

By 35 votes to 29, this chamber said it would still back Brexit today, a 10-point margin thin enough to count as a genuine toss-up rather than a verdict. On raw numbers it reads as continuity with the 52-48 country of 2016, but the coalition behind it looks nothing like the one that voted Leave a decade ago.

The age pattern is the story, and it is inverted. Under-25s broke hard against Brexit, just 5 of 14 still backing it, while the small clutch of 65-and-overs voted 3-0 the same way — the generation that carried Leave to victory in 2016 the only one here to reject it outright now. The enthusiasm sat instead in the middle, with 25-44s the most Brexit-friendly cohort by some distance, 26 of 40 votes yes.

Gender told a smaller, gentler story: women here were somewhat more pro-Brexit than men, 63% against 55%, a narrower version of the age-driven pattern rather than a fault line of its own. Neither split, though, rivals the generational reversal, which cuts against the usual assumption that Brexit sentiment simply hardens with age.

A decade on from the referendum that defined British politics, this vote suggests the coalition for Leave has not so much shrunk as swapped its base.