REFNATION
EconomyEnded 3 Jul

Should Andy Burnham adopt radical cost-of-living policies if he becomes prime minister?

Yes 49%No 51%35 votes cast

Andy Burnham is being urged to pursue an economic populist strategy to tackle the cost of living crisis. A seat-by-seat poll by Persuasion UK indicates Labour could fall below 100 seats at the next election under current policies. The same research shows a cost-of-living populism platform could deliver Labour 358 seats and a 66-seat majority.

Jump to opinions· 2

No wins, but barely: 18 votes to 17 on a question that asked whether Andy Burnham should go full economic populist on living costs. A margin of a single vote from 35 ballots is as close as these things get, and it reads less like a rejection of the Persuasion UK thesis than a chamber genuinely torn on it.

The more legible split is gender rather than age. Men split almost evenly, 9 yes to 10 no, while women broke harder against, 4 yes to 8 no — a two-to-one lean towards caution among the female cohort that pulled the overall result over the line for No. Age, by contrast, offered no clean story: the 35-44 and 55-64 groups tilted yes, the 25-34s tilted no, and everyone else hovered close to 50-50, suggesting this isn't a generational fault line so much as a values one.

That the platform can't agree on Burnham-style populism mirrors the wider argument inside Labour itself, between those who think the party needs a Reform-proofing tilt towards redistribution and intervention and those who fear it looks like a lurch that spooks the centre it needs to hold. The seat-projection numbers driving the debate — sub-100 seats on the current course, 358 with a populist pivot — are stark, but voters here plainly aren't convinced the gap closes that easily.

A question this finely balanced tells you more about the divide inside the audience than about Burnham's prospects.

I've gone no here, as someone from greater Manchester, in reality, what Andy Burnham has done here is spearhead growth, the fruits of that are massively showing around here now and that's really the best way to make people better off.

NO case · Nick44 · 0 respects

LeftCentreRight
49%
Yes · 17 votes
51%
No · 18 votes
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2 Opinions

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atc1249· 498
The Civic Custodian
Voted noCentre lean

Pursuing populism will not create a sustainable economy. Government should consider re-acquisition of natural monopoly utilities but run on 'profit for purpose' lines and well regulated pricing. Gov contracts should actively favour UK firms

Nick44· 222
The Institutional Leftist with a Carrier
Voted noC. Left lean

I've gone no here, as someone from greater Manchester, in reality, what Andy Burnham has done here is spearhead growth, the fruits of that are massively showing around here now and that's really the best way to make people better off.