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After Nigel Farage’s press conference would you say he’s gone from his job or has he stayed?
PersonnelEnded 14 Jul

After Nigel Farage’s press conference would you say he’s gone from his job or has he stayed?

Yes 49%No 51%98 votes cast

Nigel Farage announced today that he will resign as the MP for Clacton to trigger a by-election which he intends to contest. The move follows intense media scrutiny of his personal finances including a reported £5 million in cryptocurrency donations. He remains the leader of Reform UK and framed the by-election as a chance for voters to judge him against the establishment.

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The margin was two votes, which is really no margin at all — but the shape beneath it tells the sharper story. Voters did not divide neatly by generation or gender so much as by instinct about political theatre: some saw a man stepping back, most saw a man staging a comeback.

Age produced the oddest fault line. The 55-64s and 25-34s were the closest thing to convinced he'd gone, both leaning yes by roughly two to one, while the 45-54s dug in against that reading and the over-65s were almost unanimous that he hasn't gone anywhere at all. Men and women, by contrast, barely disagreed — both split a shade over half in the same direction, yes, suggesting this was a generational read rather than a gendered one.

The pattern echoes the wider scepticism about Farage's career of exits that never quite are — UKIP, the Brexit Party, "retirement" from the Coalition of five years' vintage. A resignation timed to a funding scandal, framed as an accountability exercise and contested by the man resigning, was never going to read as a clean departure to a self-selecting online electorate already primed to doubt him.

If Farage wanted this to look like judgment day, the judgment was a coin toss that fell his way — against him.

51%
No
majority
49% Yes
Votes98
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% voting yes, by leaning

100% yes among H. Left voters, 1 of them
69% yes among Left voters, 13 of them
53% yes among C. Left voters, 17 of them
61% yes among Centre voters, 23 of them
46% yes among C. Right voters, 13 of them
32% yes among Right voters, 22 of them
25% yes among H. Right voters, 4 of them
H. Left
Left
C. Left
Centre
C. Right
Right
H. Right
LeftCentreRight
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