Will Farage win the Clacton by election?

Nigel Farage has resigned as MP for Clacton after scrutiny over his donations and finances, triggering a by-election in which he will stand again as the Reform UK candidate framing it as people versus establishment. He won the seat in 2024 with a substantial majority but faces criticism over limited local presence and a challenge from the new Restore party. The contest is now imminent with Farage widely expected to defend the seat.