Should Scotland be an independent country?

Should Scotland be an independent country?

Yes 30%No 70%1,971 votes cast

Monthly tracker. This referendum is asked every month, so you can see how opinion moves. See the trend →

Scotland is part of the UK, and the Scottish Parliament cannot hold an independence referendum without UK government consent. The UK Supreme Court ruled this in November 2022, and consent would come through a Section 30 order, as in 2014. The SNP won a fifth straight Holyrood election in May 2026 without a majority, and First Minister John Swinney launched a 'Choose Scotland' campaign in October 2026. Prime Minister Andy Burnham continues to rule out a second referendum. Polls are close, with the latest ranging from 47% to 52% for Yes.

Jump to opinions· 69

The most-respected arguments on both sides of this vote shared a reluctance. The winning No side, which prevailed overwhelmingly, was topped by a voter who wrote that this is “entirely a matter for the Scots” and merely hoped they would not leave.

That concession ran through the No case. One voter wrote that “we are all stronger together”, another that “We are meant to be the United Kingdom, not a divided kingdom”. A sharper strand went after the SNP rather than independence itself: “the SNP are equally, if not more, incompetent that Labour”, said one, who would otherwise love Scotland to be independent.

The Yes side's most-respected voice was tired rather than triumphant: “I'm exhausted of hearing about it”. Others rested on process, saying Scotland should “have the chance to choose again”. One Yes voter even doubted that “the numbers will stack up without the Barnet formula”, a point No voters pressed with talk of subsidy and a deficit.

The argument sits inside the UK's long wrangle over referendum repeats and who consents to them. Here, No voters who accepted Scotland's right to choose still asked that it not be revisited, while Yes voters who sounded half-hearted about leaving still wanted the question put.

So a debate over breaking up the UK was conducted largely by people granting Scotland's right to decide and arguing about everything else.

“I'm exhausted of hearing about it. If England is making them that miserable, they can bugger off. There's no point being trapped in a relationship full of so much hate, and they'll soon realise that an independent Scotland won't get blank cheques from Westminster.”

YES case · Joe · 6 respects

“This is entirely a matter for the Scots, and they should have the right to initiate a referendum process via their own representatives if that is what they wish. Personally I hope they do not choose to leave.”

NO case · BunstanceBunnidge · 6 respects

70%
No
majority
30% Yes
Run1st
Votes1,971
Skipped83
You—

% voting yes, by leaning

57% yes among H. Left voters, 79 of them
52% yes among Left voters, 222 of them
33% yes among C. Left voters, 207 of them
22% yes among Centre voters, 260 of them
22% yes among C. Right voters, 261 of them
13% yes among Right voters, 722 of them
10% yes among H. Right voters, 242 of them
H. Left
Left
C. Left
Centre
C. Right
Right
H. Right
Monthly tracker · First runSee the trend
Cite this result

refnation referendum, closed 27 October 2026: “Should Scotland be an independent country?” — No 70%, weighted by political leaning (1,971 votes).

Free to quote with a link to this page — Copy includes it.

Download the counts (CSV) — the votes behind this result, by leaning, party, region and age.

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Debate

69 Opinions

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The Open-Hearted Redistributor
Voted noH. Left lean

This is entirely a matter for the Scots, and they should have the right to initiate a referendum process via their own representatives if that is what they wish. Personally I hope they do not choose to leave.

Joe· 344
The Radical Constitutionalist
Voted yesCentre lean

I'm exhausted of hearing about it. If England is making them that miserable, they can bugger off. There's no point being trapped in a relationship full of so much hate, and they'll soon realise that an independent Scotland won't get blank cheques from Westminster.

The Soft-Hearted Rule-Keeper
Voted noCentre lean

The SNP are crazy and would be a danger to us all

The Fiscal Custodian
Voted noRight lean

Scotland had their chance to prove they could be self-governing and it's been an absolute embarrassment. I say that as a Scot. Education and Health are both devolved, both now abysmal. All the energy spent on crank failed projects for recycling bottles and pretending men are women. Actual theft by the party. Yet people still vote for it. You can't just identify as an independent country. You have to do the work to make it work. But they won't and can't.

hjm_1· 422
The Fair-Shares Pragmatist
Voted yesLeft lean

Yes, because they should have the chance to choose again! Its a matter for Scotland to decide! I have no strong view either way & would be content with either "leave" or "stay!"

The Measured Welfare Hawk
Voted noC. Right lean

It is their decision, but as someone from fairly close to the border (on the English side), I would really hope they didn't. I regularly go up to towns in the south of Scotland and it doesn't feel like some dramatic change. North East England has often looked north as much as it has south; and plenty of Borders people use the shops and facilities in Berwick or Carlisle. Sometimes this debate treats Scotland and England like entirely separate islands but they're intertwined.

The Contrarian
Voted noC. Left lean

No. We've seen how divisive and disruptive Brexit has been. Breaking up the UK will be just as bad, especially if one chooses to join the EU and the rest don't. We are a small country and far stronger united.

The Unifier
Voted noLeft lean

We are meant to be the United Kingdom, not a divided kingdom. We all understand that Scotland and Wales have different laws to England in some areas, their own parliaments, isn't that enough? I've never considered that we were 3 or 4 (if you include NI), separate countries, the thought is odd. It could mean getting a passport, just to pop over the border. Doesn't sit right with me.

The Hard-Nosed Sovereigntist
Voted noH. Right lean

Whilst I would love Scotland to be independent, the SNP are equally, if not more, incompetent that Labour. The country would collapse at record speed!

RAS· 360
The National Restorationist
Voted noRight lean

No. The SNP seems determined to dismantle a Union built over centuries of shared history, sacrifice and achievement. Scotland helped shape the United Kingdom, not merely join it. Our armed forces, families, industries and institutions are intertwined. Nationalists offer another border and years of constitutional upheaval, but what tangible improvement to ordinary Scots' lives? I reject the SNP's obsession with division. Scotland's heritage is part of our shared British story.