Has Nigel Farage contributed to the downfall of four Prime Ministers?

Voters here narrowly credited Nigel Farage with a hand in the fall of four prime ministers, 30 votes to 26, an 8-point margin that flatters a genuinely contested verdict. This was no rout in either direction — more a coin toss that landed on YES.

The real story sits in the age breakdown. Among 16-24s, just 3 of 14 bought the premise, a heavy 21% yes share, while the 35-44 bracket went the other way almost entirely, 7 of 8 saying yes. The 25-34s, the largest single bloc at 28 votes, split close to the national average, 54% yes, effectively deciding the outcome by sheer weight of numbers.

That generational divide tracks a familiar fault line: those old enough to remember the 2016 referendum campaign and the Tory psychodrama that followed seem readier to trace a direct line from Farage's insurgency to Cameron, May, Johnson and Truss's exits, while younger voters — for whom this is inherited history rather than lived memory — are more sceptical of the causal claim. Gender told a quieter version of the same story, with men marginally more persuaded (53% yes) than women (47% yes), though neither skew was decisive on its own.

In the end it was the thirtysomethings, not the ideologues at either end of the age scale, who carried a verdict on Farage's legacy that Westminster itself still argues about.